Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.934103 11.479316 13.134549 15.033720 17.146546 19.418896 22.041482
2025-07-06 8.062243 10.092635 12.403000 15.206656 18.495983 22.211559 26.703719
2025-07-13 6.931142 9.278659 12.086406 15.650738 20.010615 25.124348 31.526522
2025-07-20 6.028147 8.570172 11.747673 15.941942 21.257182 27.690050 35.977528
2025-07-27 5.205108 7.832208 11.253844 15.934378 22.057343 29.675997 39.739046
2025-08-03 4.322734 6.891764 10.379114 15.320658 21.987768 30.506569 42.027157
2025-08-10 3.725294 6.265650 9.846979 15.084850 22.347303 31.844076 44.951178
2025-08-17 3.193828 5.665640 9.282472 14.736809 22.498926 32.872941 47.465085
2025-08-24 2.791098 5.209059 8.873372 14.558562 22.844311 34.138875 50.298376
2025-08-31 2.405676 4.730493 8.381618 14.209907 22.906765 34.992867 52.572438
2025-09-07 2.169304 4.468066 8.193119 14.287678 23.566926 36.674904 56.006753
2025-09-14 1.927984 4.166554 7.912532 14.196053 23.957928 37.973145 58.926958
2025-09-21 1.758886 3.976282 7.799093 14.359554 24.739602 39.861004 62.745478
2025-09-28 1.609143 3.802981 7.696832 14.527894 25.526244 41.770932 66.638573
2025-10-05 1.516958 3.728779 7.755915 14.956799 26.725491 44.313610 71.500483
2025-10-12 1.410723 3.613115 7.730444 15.237951 27.696003 46.536830 75.945590
2025-10-19 1.274600 3.418072 7.544270 15.230786 28.198439 48.062690 79.394951
2025-10-26 1.079489 3.068647 7.040835 14.638986 27.719443 48.070401 80.578026
2025-11-02 0.950832 2.846985 6.757569 14.411647 27.819073 48.956594 83.083019
2025-11-09 0.825629 2.613384 6.428286 14.076130 27.714938 49.510873 85.085228
2025-11-16 0.730770 2.437763 6.197994 13.904318 27.873821 50.473918 87.723676
2025-11-23 0.632176 2.235444 5.892463 13.568290 27.728345 50.937880 89.590534
2025-11-30 0.577787 2.140815 5.805788 13.643240 28.299070 52.564035 93.296469